Rublev in the Hangzhou semifinals. Where he reaches the later stages this season

In the 2026 season, Andrey Rublev has four quarterfinal wins, two finals and one title. His recent matches show which tournaments he reaches the semifinals at, and where he exits early.

The semifinal in Hangzhou continues a season in which Andrey Rublev has already won quarterfinal matches four times. This follows from api.tennis statistics. Each such victory means a place in the semifinal. The cutoff gets tougher after that: of the four semifinals, two turned into finals, and of the two finals, one ended with a title. His overall season record stands at 28 wins and 17 losses.

The season funnel

A breakdown of wins by round shows where Rublev tends to stop. At the start of tournaments, the wins pile up: 5 in the second round and 6 in round of 16 matches. After that, the number drops sharply: 4 wins in quarterfinals, 2 in semifinals, 1 in the final. It means reaching the quarterfinals is routine for him, while each next step comes about twice as rarely.

Where the semifinals are born

This is best illustrated by the recent Nordea Open. There, Rublev won four matches in a row and took the title. In the round of 16, he beat Andrea Pellegrino 7-6 6-7 6-3, in the quarterfinals Sebastian Baez 6-1 6-2, in the semifinal Alejandro Tabilo 6-4 4-6 6-4, and in the final Luciano Darderi 6-4 6-3. A week later in Estoril, he was close to another semifinal. After a crushing win over Timofey Skatov 6-1 6-1, Rublev took the first set against Luca Van Assche, but lost 6-3 3-6 4-6.

Big tournaments. Early exits

At the top-tier events, the picture is the opposite. At Wimbledon, Rublev lost in the first round to Roman Safiullin in five sets: 4-6 7-6 6-3 3-6 6-7. At the Masters in Canada, he lost in the second round to Shang Juncheng 5-7 6-4 6-7. In Cincinnati, Rublev beat Pablo Carreño Busta 7-6 6-1, and then lost to Nuno Borges 3-6 4-6. At the US Open, he fought back from 0:2 in sets against Otto Virtanen (6-7 6-7 6-0 6-2 7-6), but in the second round he lost to Daniel Mérida 7-6 2-6 4-6 4-6. In those four tournaments, none of his wins came beyond the second round.

In the rankings, Rublev is 25th with 1930 points. In the live rankings, he rises to 24th place with 2020 points. That was calculated by rank.tennis.

These numbers paint a clear picture. Rublev's semifinals this season have come at tournaments like Nordea Open and Estoril, while at Wimbledon, the US Open and two Masters events, his runs have ended early. The Hangzhou semifinal fits the first pattern: his late-stage success comes at tournaments outside the Grand Slams and Masters.